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After crunching two to six years' worth of pricing data for a number of typical holiday gifts, The Wall Street Journal has turned up the best times to go deal hunting — and they almost never involve standing in the freezing cold all night. Vote Related Video Avoid Black Friday fights at Wal-Mart! WSJ Off Duty cranks up the holiday shopping with 10 hot Cyber Monday food deals you can score from the safety of your couch. Plus, a look at gifts for the super rich - from luxury cars to high-end speakers. It turns out that gifts from Barbie dolls to watches to blenders are often priced below Black Friday levels at various times throughout the year, even during the holiday season, and their prices follow different trajectories as the remaining shopping days tick down. Watches and jewelry, typical last-minute quarry for well-heeled shoppers, get more expensive as the season progresses, according to Decide Inc., the consumer-price research firm that gathered and analyzed the data for this article. Blenders, which might sit around for months if they aren't bought in the holiday window, get much cheaper at the end. new black friday deals 2013 new black friday deals a new balance black friday deals best black friday deals new york black friday deals in buffalo new york best black friday deals new york city new black friday deals b black friday new car deals black friday deals new york city black friday hotel deals new york city new york & company black friday deals black friday new car deals 2010 black friday new car deals 2011 new york & co black friday deals new black friday deals c new black friday deals d newegg black friday deals newegg black friday deals 2011 new black friday deals e black friday deals fallout new vegas black friday deals niagara falls new york new deals for black friday black friday deals for new cars black friday deals for new ipod touch new black friday deals f new black friday deals g black friday hotel deals new york black friday deals new hampshire new black friday deals h new black friday deals i black friday deals new jersey new black friday deals j new black friday deals k new black friday deals l new black friday deals m new black friday deals n black friday deals in new orleans black friday deals on new cars new black friday online deals new black friday deals o new black friday deals p new black friday deals q new black friday deals r new black friday deals The results reveal a lot about how retailers plot pricing strategy ahead of the year-end shopping frenzy that can account for a fifth or more of their sales. They also highlight how the industry has managed to use more sophisticated technology to turn Black Friday into a marketing bonanza by carefully selecting items for deep discounts while continuing to price broader merchandise at levels that won't kill profits. "In the old days, all of the great deals were on Black Friday, but now you see some great deals on Black Friday and lots of offers throughout the season," says John Barbour, chief executive of electronic-toy maker new black friday deals 2011 black friday deals new york new black friday deals s new york times black friday deals black friday travel deals new york new black friday deals t new black friday deals u new black friday deals v new walmart black friday deals black friday deals western new york new black friday deals w new black friday deals x black friday new york deals black friday deals new york and company black friday deals buffalo new york new black friday deals y black friday deals new zealand new black friday deals z new black friday deals 0 new black friday deals 1 black friday 2011 deals new york new black friday deals 3 new black friday deals 4 new black friday deals 5 new black friday deals 6 new black friday deals 7 new black friday deals 8 new black friday deals 9 new best black friday deals 2013 new walmart black friday deals 2013 new gamestop black friday deals 2013 new best buy black friday deals 2013 new target black friday deals 2013 new dell black friday deals 2013 new verizon black friday deals 2013 new ipod black friday deals 2013 new online black friday deals 2013 new sprint black friday deals 2013 new york and company black friday deals new york and co black friday deals new york and company black friday deals 2010 new black friday deals at walmart new black friday deals at target new black friday deals at best buy new black friday deals at kohls new black friday deals at sears new black friday deals at walmart 2013 new black friday deals at kmart new are black friday deals available online new black friday deals amazon new black friday deals at lowes Decide didn't track in-store prices, which differ from market to market. As a result, its findings don't reflect the "door buster" specials offered during Black Friday on limited quantities of items found only in stores. But online retailers like Amazon have become more aggressive about competing for Black Friday business, so the data still give a good picture of broader trends in pricing. Prices for some gifts items are lowest early in the holiday season—meaning now—before retailers begin to gradually raise prices. But Decide's tracking of prices for at least two years produced some surprising conclusions about the best times to buy on average. (Periods of lowest price identified in this article, based on averages over at least two years, differ from those in the chart, which is based only on 2011.) Decide tracked the price of a Citizen men's black watch from 2008 through 2011 and found that the best time to buy it was early March, when the watch sank to $350 from its $600 list price. The average price for the watch on Black Friday and Cyber Monday was $379. If you missed that window, there is still no reason to wait for a bargain. Categories like jewelry and watches become pricier throughout the months leading up to Christmas, according to Decide's data, which showed a steady incline in prices from October through December. 2002 new balance black friday deals best black friday deals 2011 new york best black black friday deals new york best black black friday deals new york and company black friday deals weather in buffalo new york black friday deals hotels in buffalo new york black friday deals jobs in buffalo new york black friday deals things to do in buffalo new york black friday deals colleges in buffalo new york black friday deals apartments in buffalo new york black friday deals shopping in buffalo new york black friday deals restaurants in buffalo new york black friday deals craigslist in buffalo new york black friday deals hospitals in buffalo new york best black friday hotel deals new york city best black friday last minute hotel deals new york city best black friday best hotel deals new york city best black friday last minute deals new york city best black friday travel deals new york city best black friday living social deals new york city best black friday priceline hotel deals new york city best black friday groupon hotel deals new york city best black friday groupon deals new york city best black friday cheap hotel deals new york city new black friday deals best buy new black friday deals best buy 2013 new best black friday deals best buy new black friday deals big lots new black friday deals babies r us new black friday deals black friday ads new black friday deals bed bath and beyond new black friday deals barnes and noble new black friday deals before black friday new black friday deals bath and body works black friday new car deals 2012 milwaukee black friday new car deals 2011 black friday new car deals best black friday new car deals milwaukee black friday new car deals 2012 black friday last minute hotel deals new york city black friday best hotel deals new york city black friday last minute deals new york city black friday travel deals new york city black friday living social deals new york city black friday priceline hotel deals new york city black friday groupon hotel deals new york city black friday groupon deals new york city black friday cheap hotel deals new york city black friday hotel hotel deals new york city black friday hotel last minute hotel deals new york city black friday hotel best hotel deals new york city black friday hotel last minute deals new york city black friday hotel travel deals new york city black friday hotel living social deals new york city black friday hotel priceline hotel deals new york city black friday hotel groupon hotel deals new york city black friday hotel groupon deals new york city black friday hotel cheap hotel deals new york city new york & new york and company black friday deals new york & tractor supply company black friday deals new york & ny & company black friday deals new york & ny and company black friday deals new york & yankee candle company black friday deals black friday best new car deals 2010 black friday best new car deals 2010 incentives black friday best new car deals 2011 black friday best new car deals 2011 uk new york & columbia co black friday deals new york & keystone co black friday deals new york & tiffany and co black friday deals new york & cost co black friday deals new york & new york and co black friday deals new black friday deals cameras new black friday deals canada new black friday deals costco new black friday deals computers new black friday deals chicago new best black friday deals circuit city new black friday deals cyber monday deals new black friday deals cell phones new black friday deals coach new black friday deals cars new black friday deals dell new black friday deals digital camera new black friday deals dicks sporting goods Ugg boots, typically a winter item, also became pricier as the holiday season progressed. Decide's data show the best time to buy Uggs during the holiday-shopping window is in September or October. The average price for a pair of women's "Classic Cardy" Uggs during those two months was $85, down from the $159.95 list price. On Black Friday and Cyber Monday, the average price jumped about 59% to $135 and $137, respectively. Hot items like flat-screen televisions also become more expensive closer to Christmas, Decide's data found. The best holiday-season time to buy a flat-screen television is in October, says Mike Fridgen, Decide's chief executive. The average price of a Samsung 46-inch "Professional" LCD television was $1,159 in October, according to Decide. On Black Friday, the same TV's average price was $1,355, the data found. The same goes for almost any hot item and popular toys. Buying early could help you snag an item before prices rise as supplies become tight. The price of a Sesame Street Elmo plush toy increased 31% to $17.78 on Black Friday from its average in September and October, according to Decide's data. The late-season price increases for toys that turn into hits can be dramatic. Ron Brawer, a partner at toy maker Maya Group Inc., recalls that his $29.99 Orbeez "Soothing Spa" toy was sold for as much as $90 during last year's holiday season as online retailers raised the price when supplies became limited. "It was crazy," Mr. Brawer says. "They spent three times as much for something than if they would have bought it three weeks earlier." For other items, it pays to wait until closer to Christmas. The mid-December price of a KitchenAid Artisan Stand Mixer, for example, dropped nearly 20% from the month before, according to Decide data. new black friday deals dillards new black friday deals dyson new black friday deals dallas new black friday deals dsi new black friday deals desktops new black friday deals dsw new black friday deals dunhams newegg black friday deals 2013 newegg black friday deals 2012 newegg black friday deals 2010 newegg black friday deals 2009 best newegg black friday deals are newegg black friday deals good last year's newegg black friday deals list of newegg black friday deals newegg walmart black friday deals 2011 newegg buckle black friday deals 2011 newegg best black friday deals 2011 newegg ashley furniture black friday deals 2011 newegg dell black friday deals 2011 newegg ebay black friday deals 2011 newegg att black friday deals 2011 newegg target black friday deals 2011 newegg ipad black friday deals 2011 newegg sears black friday deals 2011 new black friday deals early new black friday deals electronics new black friday deals express new black friday deals ebay new black friday deals excel Black Friday, the biggest shopping day of the year, looms, and once again retailers are offering holiday deals in an attempt to get more shoppers into their stores. Several of the biggest retailers are extending their opening hours even more than in previous years to try to one-up their competition. The deals listed by retailers are as big as ever. Home Depot, Target, Wal-Mart, and Best Buy, among others, are selling popular items at discounts of 30% or more off their regular price. Retailers plan to sell laptops, HDTVs, and other products at several hundred dollars off. Consulting with several groups that compile Black Friday deals, 24/7 Wall St. identified some of the products with the biggest markdowns. Retailers usually offer the best deals on already established products. For example, several big box stores offer considerable rollbacks on the 50" HDTVs because they have been on the market for several years. Fatwallet.com's Brent Shelton explained, "A couple of years ago, the bigger screens with the lighter technology were still new. But last year, prices really came down as they became less of a novel item." Many other products offered with significant markdowns are either being phased out and replaced with a new product type or improved versions of the same model. This is the case with laptops, for example. "With laptops, particularly the medium-level laptops, retailers discount them because people are turning to tablets as their general surf-communication device," Shelton said. Laptops can therefore be very good deals for students who don't care about having a tablet, he added. Despite the many holiday deals, it's probably not the best time to buy some products. Holiday decorations and winter clothing tend to be more expensive now than any time of year because most stores have just put them in stock. There are also products that tend to have better deals during other holidays. For example, the biggest deals for tools tend to be during Father's Day. That being said, during Black Friday you can find products at considerable markdowns in nearly every area. 24/7 Wall St. consulted shopping experts at Fatwallet.com, GottaDeal.com, and BFAD.com to identify the Black Friday deals with the biggest discounts compared to the product's MSRP or pre-sale price.